I costi della salute aumenteranno quest'anno del 2,9% e poi ancora del 3,6% nel 2023 e del 3,1% nel 2024, secondo le stime del KOF, il centro di ricerche congiunturali del Politecnico di Zurigo. Gli esperti ritengono che "l'impatto considerevole" della pandemia avrà delle conseguenze anche in un prossimo futuro, per effetto dei trattamenti non urgenti che sono stati rinviati e della probabilità "difficilmente valutabile" di nuove ondate di contagi e di effetti a lungo termine delle malattie legate al coronavirus.
In cifre, le spesa sanitaria elvetica dovrebbe fissarsi a 86,9 miliardi (9'993 franchi per abitante) nel 2021, anno di cui non ci conoscono ancora i dati definitivi. Salirà poi a 89,5 miliardi (10'190 franchi a testa) in questo 2022, a 92,7 (10'416) nel 2023 e 95,6 (10'612) nel 2024.
In proporzione al PIL, resteremo in una forchetta compresa fra l'11,6 e il 12%, mentre nel decennio scorso si è toccato in media l'11,1% e in quello precedente il 9,8%. Per il prossimo anno è già stato annunciato un aumento dei premi di cassa malati in media del 6,6% a livello federale.
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