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Crescita: bene USA, UE cala
L'FMI taglia le stime di ripresa economica mondiale. Frena il PIL di Germania, Francia e Italia
Il Fondo Monetario Internazionale (FMI) ha rivisto al ribasso le stime di crescita globali e giudicato mediocre e incerta la ripresa economica mondiale, che continua a procedere a due velocità: da una parte gli Stati Uniti in crescita, dall'altra l'Europa che rallenta, con rischi di deflazione, stagnazione e pericolo di recessione.
Il PIL mondiale 2014 salirà del 3,3% (0,1 punti percentuali in meno rispetto alle previsioni di luglio), per poi accelerare al 3,8% nel 2015 (-0,2 punti). Il PIL americano 2014 crescerà del 2,2% (0,5 punti in più), nel 2015 del 3,1%.
Nell'area euro frenano Germania, Francia e Italia. Il PIL tedesco crescerà nel 2014 dell'1,4% e nel 2015 dell'1,5%, rispettivamente 0,5 e 0,2 punti in meno. L'economia francese si espanderà quest'anno dello 0,4% (-0,4 punti) e il prossimo dell'1,0% (-0,5 punti). In Italia il PIL 2014 calerà dello 0,2% (-0,5 punti) e tornerà positivo nel 2015 con +0,8% (-0,3 punti).
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