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La Svizzera potrebbe contare, nel 2045, 10,2 milioni di abitanti. Questo è lo scenario previsto dall'Ufficio federale di statistica.
Lo studio pubblicato oggi, lunedì, mostra che, vista la stabilità del numero delle nascite e il continuo aumento delle morti, l'incremento della popolazione sarà dovuto principalmente alle migrazioni (80% della crescita totale). La concretizzazione dell'ipotesi dipenderà in buona parte dall'ingresso di migranti di sesso femminile in età feconda (15-49), che, oltre ad avere un'influenza diretta sullo sviluppo demografico dei cittadini, inciderà di riflesso sull'evoluzione dei parti.
Evoluzione secondo i tre scenari
Il quadro di riferimento presenta diversi dati: nel 2045 ci saranno in media 158 nascite per 100 donne; la speranza di vita degli uomini si attesterà a 86,2 anni, mentre quella delle donne a 89,4; il saldo migratorio (differenza tra immigrazione ed emigrazione) sarà pari a 60'000 fino al 2030, per poi diminuire fino a 30'000 dal 2040.
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RG 08.00 del 23 giugno 2015 Il servizio di Annamaria Jannuzzi
RSI Info 23.06.2015, 10:03
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