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Il voto di Lugano ha avuto la sua influenza anche sulle proiezioni elaborate per conto della RSI da Pietro Pisani.
Dalle 18.00 via le proiezioni indicano che la Lega dovrebbe mantenere i due seggi in Consiglio di Stato, ma con un distacco non molto ampio sul PLR. Distacco che alla fine potrebbe essere inferiore all'1%.
Apertissima anche la partita tra Christian Vitta e Michele Bertini per il quinto seggio. La partita si è completamente riaperta e fino all'arrivo del risultato di Bellinzona i due sono stati a pari merito. Poi, con l'arrivo dei dati di Locarno, la situazione si è chiarita a vantaggio del sindaco di Sant'Antonino che per alcune decine di minuti ha temuto di essere distaccato dal giovane municipale di Lugano.
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